Friday, September 23, 2011
SUCCESS STORY
Thursday, September 22, 2011
IS THE WORLD COMING TO AN END?
SILVER UPDATE
Good evening traders. My, oh my, what an interesting day. There is only one way to describe today's action. WHAT A WONDERFUL GIFT!!!!! I hope most of you realized what was happening and loaded up on Dec and March calls. There is so much to tell you that I don't know where to begin so I'll just dive in and trust you've learned enough by now to put it all together. .......... Today is a classic textbook example of why we do not trade contracts. This mornings open on the Dec contract was 39.67 and the close was 36.57. That's a 310 point loss. You would have lost $15,500.00 on EACH contract in your portfolio. Right now, your broker would be screaming at you to sell your house to cover your massive margin call. ...But... we own options, not contracts. Our options are temporarily out of the money but we still OWN them and no one is yelling at us. ....What we saw today was computer rigged high frequency trading designed to shake traders out of their positions by trying to panic them into selling. I don't think the shorts were able to buy back very many positions today. The ferocity of this attack was a little surprising but also VERY telling. It is very clear that the shorts are in a panic stage and want to cover as many positions as they can. I'm pretty sure the 30 year long manipulation in the metals market will end very soon . Possibly on Sept 27th. Thats expiration day......Now this is interesting. The uptrend line on the daily and weekly Dec chart has been broken but not on the monthly. That line is VERY solid. This bodes well. It means that this market is about to get VERY volitile. Today may well have been the opening gate. A few days ago I told you that any sell off would be very short lived. I managed to get filled on a very nice position today but I had to pay almost twice its theoretic value. I have outstanding orders more than double those I got filled on so I hope the shorts hit this market again tomorrow but I don't have my hopes up. I think it is probable that the worst is over but I hope not. I'd really like to see the rest of my orders filled. My offers are well above theoretic value. The very fact that these orders are not being filled makes it clear that panic is in session in the church of the shorts. They have raised the dead only to discover they have raised themselves. ......Let me make this VERY clear.... This sell off WILL be VERY short lived. I will not be surprised to see silver back near the 40.50 area by next Tuesdays close. Whether or not it is , is irrelevant. What matters is this market is about to get VERY volitile. Remember to take profits as I suggested when the targets are hit. Reread the other days newsletter to reconsider my suggestions. Trade as you wish but please trade wisely. Trade with your mind, not your emotions. Trade well my friends.................The following is intended for Jerry's students. Hi, everyone. The above comments are for commodity futures traders who are trading long term positions. Jerry does not teach this type of trading . If you are following his suggestions to trade along with what I teach ,then you should be trading the Jan SLV. I would strongly suggest that that you listen carefully to Jerry's suggestions in his blog and get in and out of this market as he recommends following the moving averages. This market may well be about to get wild and wooley. If you are unable to handle the mental stress of trading in a market you may not understand well,then I suggest you consider sitting on the sidelines and playing a calmer market. I've waited 30 for this cycle to come around. It's now here and things are going to be very exciting over the next few years. I'm not 100% sure the gate just opened but I am certain we just heard the trumpet blow. Its past post time. The race is beginning. Happy trades....Chaz
SUCCESS STORY
Jerry,
I took course 1 and 2 during the spring early summer time frame. I have been doing a lot of trading since.
I purchased 10 contracts of ZMH Oct. 55.0 Put at $1.55 on 9/19 and sold the contracts on 9/22 @ $3.50 . That was a nice $1950 profit in 3 days.
On your recommendation I purchased on 9/15 TZA 10 contracts of Oct. 46.0 Call at $5.50 and sold 5 of those contracts on 9/22 at $11.25. I now have all of my money back on this trade and I am now working on pure profit.
I also purchased on 9/20 TZA 10 contracts of Oct. 49.0 Call at $4.65 and sold 5 contracts on 9/22 at $9.70. Again I am now working on pure profit. I have all of my money back on this trade.
These are just my completed trades over the last few days. I have about 10 other transactions still at work and making money on all of them. I have one trade still going that I am making 300% right now an it is still working. Tomorrow I will be taking some money off of the table on this one.
You and your classes have been invaluable.
Thanks,
DanSUCCESS STORY
SUCCESS STORY
Jerry,
I just closed my positions today. I have been watching the market and yes it can go lower, but I decided it was time to take these in, since time might be running out and I am on vacation tomorrow.
43% return on CVX OCT 100 PUT
12.4% Return on SPY OCT 123 PUT
20.4 % Return on TZA OCT 44 PUT
28.8% Return on FAZ OCT 57 PUT
Overall a $2500 return or 23.6% on 4 trades in 9 days.
I placed these trades when the market shot up, so I was over 50% under water at one point, and bounced back in 3 days. The emotional rollercoaster is tough. I am happy with my gains. I hope next time I put some more thinking into the risk/reward aspect.
Lets see what happens tomorrow and next week. SP500 certainly tested 1120 and there are big sell offs everywhere. Looking forward to your update on today’s sell off.
This is a good start and yes, the system works. I needed some success after slumping all year long. I am excited to keep trading and making more moves.
Have a great weekend,
AndySUCCESS STORY
Jerry, below are my realized gains with only one small loss occurring within 5 trading days. Since we gapped down, I exited TZA before my sell limit but all others hit my mark with an automotive execution. I have another $2,200 unrealized gain that I am comfortable waiting for. Thank you for the advice. Ken
| Description | Bought | Sold | Gain/ (Loss) |
| 10 GE puts | 1,377.49 | 2,192.34 | 814.85 |
| 5 FAZ calls | 3,963.74 | 10,960.98 | 6,997.24 |
| 5 XOM puts | 2,208.74 | 3,836.12 | 1,627.38 |
| 2 IBM puts | 1,551.49 | 1,138.48 | (413.01) |
| 10 PFE puts | 1,237.49 | 1,492.36 | 254.87 |
| 5 TZA calls | 3,513.74 | 7,761.05 | 4,247.31 |
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| Total Gain |
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| $ 13,528.64 |